MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Kevin Kelly wins 2 (WHIP, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.1%
Kevin Kelly
19.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.2%
Kevin Kelly
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.8%
Kevin Kelly
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.1%
Kevin Kelly
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.283
Kevin Kelly
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.214.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
Kevin Kelly
2.214.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9001.43
now 1.15
1.25
Kevin Kelly
.9001.43
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4035
now 29
18
Kevin Kelly
4035
now 19
14
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.2003.80
now 2
12
Kevin Kelly
.2003.80
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
23
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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