Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryKevin
36K ←28
3.72ERA →3.69
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →2–7
3–6SV ←1–5
Current Season
CalebCategoryKevin
29K ←19
3.81ERA →2.67
1.15WHIP →0.81
2W →3
3SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.08 is 0.63 above the ERA — regression coming
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.219 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Caleb Kilian: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 28 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).