MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Brad Keller
Brad Keller
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brad Keller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Brad Keller wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Kevin Kelly wins 2 (WHIP, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Keller
97.0
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
10.1%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
23.7%
Kevin Kelly
19.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Keller
28.0%
Kevin Kelly
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
31.8%
Kevin Kelly
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
4.5%
Kevin Kelly
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Keller
.284
Kevin Kelly
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Keller
2.254.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.68
Kevin Kelly
2.254.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Brad Keller
.9001.43
now 1.14
1.25
Kevin Kelly
.9001.43
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Keller
4033.60
now 28
18
Kevin Kelly
4033.60
now 19
14
Winshigher is better
Brad Keller
.2003.80
now 2
12
Kevin Kelly
.2003.80
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0004.40
now 3
23
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrad Keller — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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