MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Brad Keller
Brad Keller
PHI · P
Change to
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Morgan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Brad Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Morgan wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Brad Keller wins 2 (ERA, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Keller
97.0
David Morgan
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
10.1%
David Morgan
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
23.7%
David Morgan
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Keller
28.0%
David Morgan
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
31.8%
David Morgan
27.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
4.5%
David Morgan
1.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Keller
.284
David Morgan
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Keller
35.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.68
David Morgan
35.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Keller
.9002.19
now 1.14
1.25
David Morgan
.9002.19
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Keller
4033.60
now 28
19
David Morgan
4033.60
now 17
21
Winshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0005.20
now 2
12
David Morgan
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0004.40
now 3
23
David Morgan
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrad Keller — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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