Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryColin
37K37
3.66ERA ←3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →3–9
4–7SV ←0
Current Season
BradCategoryColin
28K ←23
3.65ERA →2.14
1.14WHIP →0.81
2W →3
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.81)
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Brad Keller: 37 K / 3.66 ERA. Colin Holderman: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).