Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryBrad
34K →37
3.71ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W ←2–5
1–5SV →3–6
Current Season
AlbertCategoryBrad
10K →28
2.61ERA ←3.65
1.21WHIP →1.14
2W2
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.15 is 0.78 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.10)
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Brad Keller: 37 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).