Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryCaleb
34K →38
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–4W2–4
3–6SV3–6
Current Season
BradCategoryCaleb
28K →29
3.65ERA ←3.81
1.14WHIP ←1.15
2W2
3SV3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.09)
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.214 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.92 is 0.58 above the ERA — regression coming
Brad Keller: 34 K / 3.67 ERA. Caleb Kilian: 38 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).