MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Brad Keller
Brad Keller
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Brad Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 1 categories (K); Brad Keller wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Keller
97.0
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
10.1%
Caleb Kilian
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
23.7%
Caleb Kilian
27.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Keller
28.0%
Caleb Kilian
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
31.8%
Caleb Kilian
35.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
4.5%
Caleb Kilian
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Keller
.284
Caleb Kilian
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Keller
3.434.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.68
Caleb Kilian
3.434.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Brad Keller
1.071.32
now 1.14
1.25
Caleb Kilian
1.071.32
now 1.15
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Keller
4034.60
now 28
19
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
20
Winshigher is better
Brad Keller
.5202.48
now 2
12
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Brad Keller
.6004.40
now 3
23
Caleb Kilian
.6004.40
now 3
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrad Keller — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet