Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryGarrett
36K →39
3.71ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–7
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
CalebCategoryGarrett
29K ←26
3.81ERA →3.05
1.15WHIP →1.11
2W →3
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Kilian
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.214 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.94 is 0.60 above the ERA — regression coming
Garrett Whitlock
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.99)
Kilian projects for 36 K / 3.71 ERA vs Whitlock's 40 K / 3.70 ERA. The rates are nearly identical; Whitlock's slight K edge does not outweigh Kilian's sell-high verdict.