Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryKevin
38K ←26
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←2–6
0SV →1–5
Current Season
GarrettCategoryKevin
26K ←19
3.05ERA →2.67
1.11WHIP →0.81
3W3
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Whitlock
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.85)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.218 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.69 is 1.26 above the ERA — regression coming
Garrett Whitlock: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).