Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryKevin
36K ←33
3.71ERA →3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W3–7
1–5SV1–6
Current Season
AlbertCategoryKevin
10K →19
2.61ERA ←2.67
1.21WHIP →0.81
2W →3
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Suárez edges Kelly by 3 K (36 vs 33) and 3.71 ERA vs 3.69 — marginal gaps across categories. Both are sell-high calls; the spread favors neither format.