Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryRichard
29K →33
3.71ERA ←3.75
1.24WHIP ←1.26
3–7W ←2–4
1–4SV →4–8
Current Season
AlbertCategoryRichard
10K →21
2.61ERA ←3.38
1.21WHIP ←1.75
2W2
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.68 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Richard Lovelady
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.17)
Albert Suárez: 29 K / 3.71 ERA. Richard Lovelady: 33 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).