MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
28.1%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.2%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
35.0%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.8%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.290
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.164.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.69
Richard Lovelady
3.164.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9101.99
now 1.15
1.25
Richard Lovelady
.9101.99
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
20
Richard Lovelady
4034.60
now 21
19
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Richard Lovelady
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.6005.40
now 3
23
Richard Lovelady
.6005.40
now 4
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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