Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
SV
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (W); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.3
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.4%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
29.2%
Kevin Kelly
19.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
34.9%
Kevin Kelly
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
26.7%
Kevin Kelly
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.0%
Kevin Kelly
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.288
Kevin Kelly
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Kevin Kelly
26.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.73
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.21
now 1.81
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9002.21
now 0.81
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
24
Kevin Kelly
4031.60
now 19
15
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.2003.80
now 1
1–1
Kevin Kelly
.2003.80
now 3
1–3
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
0–2
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
1–3
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95