MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. José Fermin’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); José Fermin wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.1
José Fermin
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.8%
José Fermin
15.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
28.0%
José Fermin
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.8%
José Fermin
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.2%
José Fermin
43.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
5.3%
José Fermin
9.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.297
José Fermin
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
José Fermin
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
José Fermin
1.012.04
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
20
José Fermin
4031.60
now 18
17
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.20
now 1
01
José Fermin
.0004.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0002.40
now 1
01
José Fermin
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighJosé Fermin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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