MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); José Fermin wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
José Fermin
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
12.4%
José Fermin
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
25.6%
José Fermin
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
José Fermin
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
José Fermin
42.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
José Fermin
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.312
José Fermin
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.97
José Fermin
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.29
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.142
now 1.81
1.40
José Fermin
1.142
now 1.67
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
José Fermin
4036.40
now 18
0
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
José Fermin
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellJosé Fermin — sell.conf 0.70
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