Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. José Fermin’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); José Fermin wins 1 (W); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.4
José Fermin
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.6%
José Fermin
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
27.5%
José Fermin
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
36.1%
José Fermin
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
28.8%
José Fermin
54.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.1%
José Fermin
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.302
José Fermin
.372
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
José Fermin
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
José Fermin
1.012.04
now 1.67
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4051.60
now 26
42
José Fermin
4051.60
now 18
37
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0008
now 1
1–2
José Fermin
.0008
now 2
2–6
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
1–3
José Fermin
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeJosé Fermin — hold.conf 0.50