Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Ryan Rolison’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); Ryan Rolison wins 1 (W); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.6
Ryan Rolison
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.5%
Ryan Rolison
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
29.2%
Ryan Rolison
25.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
34.9%
Ryan Rolison
25.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.7%
Ryan Rolison
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
Ryan Rolison
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.300
Ryan Rolison
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Ryan Rolison
26.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
3.70
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Ryan Rolison
1.012.04
now 1.39
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
26
Ryan Rolison
4031.60
now 16
14
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0006.60
now 1
1–1
Ryan Rolison
.0006.60
now 3
2–5
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
0–2
Ryan Rolison
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeRyan Rolison — hold.conf 0.50