Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJosé
26K →54
3.84ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryJosé
14K →26
1.80ERA ←5.59
0.90WHIP ←1.81
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.441 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. José Alvarado: 54 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).