Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryJosé
50K →52
3.56ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
DylanCategoryJosé
34K ←26
1.30ERA ←5.59
0.61WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.203 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.74 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.426 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Dylan Lee: 50 K / 3.56 ERA. José Alvarado: 52 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).