Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryJosé
33K →53
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JasonCategoryJosé
11K →26
0.90ERA ←5.59
1.00WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.03 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.441 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jason Adam: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. José Alvarado: 53 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).