MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Jason Adam
Jason Adam
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jason Adam wins 1 (W); José Alvarado wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jason Adam
93.4
José Alvarado
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
15.3%
José Alvarado
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
16.4%
José Alvarado
29.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jason Adam
35.6%
José Alvarado
35.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
36.3%
José Alvarado
26.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
6.9%
José Alvarado
4.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jason Adam
.288
José Alvarado
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jason Adam
27.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.90
3.70
José Alvarado
27.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jason Adam
.9002.13
now 1.00
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.13
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jason Adam
4032
now 11
15
José Alvarado
4032
now 26
25
Winshigher is better
Jason Adam
.2003.80
now 2
13
José Alvarado
.2003.80
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Jason Adam
.0003.40
now 1
02
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJason Adam — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.92
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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