Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryMark
37K →46
3.70ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←0–0
1–3SV →5–9
Current Season
JasonCategoryMark
11K →25
0.90ERA ←5.47
1.00WHIP ←1.46
2W ←0
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.62 is 1.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jason Adam: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 46 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).