MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Jason Adam
Jason Adam
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Juan Morillo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Jason Adam’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Juan Morillo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Jason Adam wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jason Adam
93.4
Juan Morillo
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
15.3%
Juan Morillo
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jason Adam
16.4%
Juan Morillo
29.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jason Adam
35.6%
Juan Morillo
34.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
36.3%
Juan Morillo
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jason Adam
6.9%
Juan Morillo
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jason Adam
.288
Juan Morillo
.246
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jason Adam
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.90
3.70
Juan Morillo
24.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Jason Adam
.9001.34
now 1.00
1.24
Juan Morillo
.9001.34
now 1.08
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jason Adam
4037.60
now 11
15
Juan Morillo
4037.60
now 30
24
Winshigher is better
Jason Adam
.2003.80
now 2
13
Juan Morillo
.2003.80
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Jason Adam
.0003.40
now 1
02
Juan Morillo
.0003.40
now 1
11
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJason Adam — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeJuan Morillo — hold.conf 0.50
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