MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 1 (K); Juan Morillo wins 1 (ERA); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.3
Juan Morillo
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.9%
Juan Morillo
16.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
28.1%
Juan Morillo
30.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
37.0%
Juan Morillo
32.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
29.8%
Juan Morillo
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
3.6%
Juan Morillo
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.298
Juan Morillo
.245
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Juan Morillo
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.65
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.10
now 1.81
1.24
Juan Morillo
.9002.10
now 1.08
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4041.60
now 26
36
Juan Morillo
4041.60
now 30
33
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.5202.48
now 1
12
Juan Morillo
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
12
Juan Morillo
.0003.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeJuan Morillo — hold.conf 0.50
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