Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
José Alvarado
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
10.3%
José Alvarado
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
28.4%
José Alvarado
27.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.7%
José Alvarado
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
35.5%
José Alvarado
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.8%
José Alvarado
5.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.317
José Alvarado
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
26.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
José Alvarado
26.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9002.16
now 0.93
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.16
now 1.81
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4031.60
now 20
13
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
18
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
1–2
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
0–1
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.40
now 0
0
José Alvarado
.0002.40
now 1
0–1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90