Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
95.9
José Alvarado
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
8.3%
José Alvarado
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.7%
José Alvarado
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
23.4%
José Alvarado
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
39.1%
José Alvarado
30.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
9.4%
José Alvarado
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.327
José Alvarado
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
26.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
José Alvarado
26.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9002.16
now 0.93
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.16
now 1.81
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4049.40
now 20
28
José Alvarado
4049.40
now 26
41
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0006.60
now 2
2–5
José Alvarado
.0006.60
now 1
1–2
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0004.40
now 0
0
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
1–3
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Shugart — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90