Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryDaniel
30K →35
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryDaniel
20K →27
2.33ERA →1.93
0.93WHIP ←0.99
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.67 is 0.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Shugart: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).