MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Richard Lovelady.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Richard Lovelady wins 1 categories (ERA); Chase Shugart wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.7%
Richard Lovelady
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.9%
Richard Lovelady
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
26.2%
Richard Lovelady
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
32.8%
Richard Lovelady
28.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.2%
Richard Lovelady
5.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.303
Richard Lovelady
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.80
Richard Lovelady
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9002.08
now 0.93
1.26
Richard Lovelady
.9002.08
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4029.40
now 20
0
Richard Lovelady
4029.40
now 21
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Richard Lovelady
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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