Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryChase
37K ←33
3.69ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryChase
20K20
4.18ERA →2.33
1.52WHIP →0.93
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Chase Shugart: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).