MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
PJ Poulin
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

PJ Poulin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

PJ Poulin wins 1 categories (ERA); Chase Shugart wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
PJ Poulin
90.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.7%
PJ Poulin
6.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.9%
PJ Poulin
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
26.2%
PJ Poulin
23.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
32.8%
PJ Poulin
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.2%
PJ Poulin
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.303
PJ Poulin
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.80
PJ Poulin
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.78
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.67
now 0.93
1.26
PJ Poulin
.9001.67
now 1.46
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4028
now 20
0
PJ Poulin
4028
now 18
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0004.20
now 2
0–0
PJ Poulin
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighPJ Poulin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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