MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Shugart wins 1 (WHIP); Graham Ashcraft wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Graham Ashcraft
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.7%
Graham Ashcraft
14.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.9%
Graham Ashcraft
26.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
26.2%
Graham Ashcraft
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
32.8%
Graham Ashcraft
37.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.2%
Graham Ashcraft
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.303
Graham Ashcraft
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.80
Graham Ashcraft
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.41
now 0.93
1.26
Graham Ashcraft
.9001.41
now 1.22
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4044.80
now 20
0
Graham Ashcraft
4044.80
now 32
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Graham Ashcraft
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
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