MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Graham Ashcraft wins 1 (ERA); Keaton Winn wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
97.9
Keaton Winn
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
14.2%
Keaton Winn
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
28.6%
Keaton Winn
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
33.2%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
35.8%
Keaton Winn
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
6.0%
Keaton Winn
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
.282
Keaton Winn
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.67
Keaton Winn
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
.9001.40
now 1.22
1.26
Keaton Winn
.9001.40
now 0.90
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
4043.20
now 32
4
Keaton Winn
4043.20
now 22
4
Winshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
.0001.48
now 1
00
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
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