MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Juan Morillo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Juan Morillo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Juan Morillo
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
10.3%
Juan Morillo
15.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
28.4%
Juan Morillo
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.7%
Juan Morillo
35.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
35.5%
Juan Morillo
31.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.8%
Juan Morillo
3.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.317
Juan Morillo
.234
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Juan Morillo
24.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.36
now 0.93
1.24
Juan Morillo
.9001.36
now 1.08
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4036.80
now 20
13
Juan Morillo
4036.80
now 30
16
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
12
Juan Morillo
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.40
now 0
0
Juan Morillo
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJuan Morillo — hold.conf 0.50
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