Rest of Season Projection
BrantCategoryJosé
31K →45
3.70ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
BrantCategoryJosé
18K →26
2.84ERA ←5.59
1.07WHIP ←1.81
4W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brant Hurter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.206 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.72 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.44 sits 0.66 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.424 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brant Hurter: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. José Alvarado: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).