Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryJosé
35K →45
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
ColeCategoryJosé
23K →26
5.40ERA ←5.59
1.45WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Winn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.83)
José Alvarado
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.44 sits 0.66 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.424 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cole Winn: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. José Alvarado: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).