Rest of Season Projection
BraydonCategoryJosé
52K52
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
BraydonCategoryJosé
33K ←26
2.48ERA ←5.59
0.95WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braydon Fisher
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.49 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.426 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Braydon Fisher: 52 K / 3.68 ERA. José Alvarado: 52 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).