MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Jakob Junis
Jakob Junis
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jakob Junis wins 1 (WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jakob Junis
92.3
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jakob Junis
8.4%
José Alvarado
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jakob Junis
16.2%
José Alvarado
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jakob Junis
29.1%
José Alvarado
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jakob Junis
35.3%
José Alvarado
31.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jakob Junis
3.5%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jakob Junis
.323
José Alvarado
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jakob Junis
27.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.75
4.19
José Alvarado
27.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.97
WHIPlower is better
Jakob Junis
.9002.22
now 0.78
1.35
José Alvarado
.9002.22
now 1.81
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jakob Junis
4036.40
now 16
0
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Jakob Junis
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellJakob Junis — sell.conf 0.66
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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