Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryJosé
45K →53
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
BradCategoryJosé
31K ←26
2.68ERA ←5.59
1.00WHIP ←1.81
3W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.61 is 1.03 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.441 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brad Lord: 45 K / 3.69 ERA. José Alvarado: 53 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).