Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryMark
46K46
3.68ERA ←3.74
1.23WHIP ←1.24
2–7W ←0–0
0SV →5–9
Current Season
BradCategoryMark
31K ←25
2.68ERA ←5.47
1.00WHIP ←1.46
3W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.248 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brad Lord: 46 K / 3.68 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 46 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).