Rest of Season Projection
Kai-WeiCategoryMark
59K ←46
3.68ERA ←3.74
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←0–0
0SV →5–9
Current Season
Kai-WeiCategoryMark
43K ←25
2.57ERA ←5.47
1.10WHIP ←1.46
3W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kai-Wei Teng
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.224 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kai-Wei Teng: 59 K / 3.68 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 46 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).