Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Mark Leiter Jr.’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
José Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Mark Leiter Jr. wins 1 (SV); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.3
Mark Leiter Jr.
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.4%
Mark Leiter Jr.
14.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
29.2%
Mark Leiter Jr.
26.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
34.9%
Mark Leiter Jr.
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
26.7%
Mark Leiter Jr.
31.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.0%
Mark Leiter Jr.
3.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.288
Mark Leiter Jr.
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Mark Leiter Jr.
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.47
3.72
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Mark Leiter Jr.
1.012.04
now 1.46
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
24
Mark Leiter Jr.
4031.60
now 25
20
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
1–1
Mark Leiter Jr.
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0005.60
now 1
0–2
Mark Leiter Jr.
.0005.60
now 4
2–4
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeMark Leiter Jr. — hold.conf 0.50