Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryKai-Wei
37K →59
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.27
2–6W2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JasonCategoryKai-Wei
11K →43
0.90ERA ←2.57
1.00WHIP ←1.10
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.62 is 1.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kai-Wei Teng
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.224 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Kai-Wei Teng: 59 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).