Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryJosé
36K →54
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
CalCategoryJosé
14K →26
2.53ERA ←5.59
1.22WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.23 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.441 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cal Quantrill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. José Alvarado: 54 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).