Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryJuan
36K →47
3.71ERA →3.64
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
CalCategoryJuan
14K →30
2.53ERA ←2.63
1.22WHIP →1.08
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.23 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Juan Morillo
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.17)
Cal Quantrill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Juan Morillo: 47 K / 3.64 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).