Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryJuan
26K →47
3.73ERA →3.64
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W1–2
5–8SV ←1–2
Current Season
JoelCategoryJuan
13K →30
3.04ERA →2.63
1.18WHIP →1.08
1W1
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Juan Morillo
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.17)
Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Juan Morillo: 47 K / 3.64 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).