Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryJoel
36K ←26
3.71ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W ←1–2
0SV →5–8
Current Season
CalCategoryJoel
14K ←13
2.53ERA ←3.04
1.22WHIP →1.18
2W ←1
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.23 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cal Quantrill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).