Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryRyne
26K →53
3.73ERA3.72
1.25WHIP1.25
1–2W1–3
5–8SV ←1–3
Current Season
JoelCategoryRyne
13K →30
3.04ERA ←5.56
1.18WHIP ←1.76
1W1
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryne Stanek
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 53 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).