Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryRyan
45K →54
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–7W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
BradCategoryRyan
31K →32
2.68ERA ←5.74
1.00WHIP ←1.39
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.61 is 1.03 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Zeferjahn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.99)
Brad Lord: 45 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Zeferjahn: 54 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).