MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cole Winn wins 1 categories (ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cole Winn
95.2
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
15.1%
Pierce Johnson
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
23.1%
Pierce Johnson
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cole Winn
36.3%
Pierce Johnson
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
44.0%
Pierce Johnson
40.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
7.3%
Pierce Johnson
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cole Winn
.340
Pierce Johnson
.375
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cole Winn
2.426.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Pierce Johnson
2.426.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Cole Winn
1.141.54
now 1.45
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.141.54
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cole Winn
4028.60
now 23
19
Pierce Johnson
4028.60
now 20
19
Winshigher is better
Cole Winn
.2003.80
now 2
13
Pierce Johnson
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0003.40
now 1
02
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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