MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Murphy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and saves. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 2 categories (ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Pierce Johnson
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Pierce Johnson
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Pierce Johnson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Pierce Johnson
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Pierce Johnson
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Pierce Johnson
13.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Pierce Johnson
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Pierce Johnson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Pierce Johnson
.9002.55
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4028.40
now 6
15
Pierce Johnson
4028.40
now 20
22
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.60
now 1
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.60
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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