MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pierce Johnson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pierce Johnson wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Pierce Johnson
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Pierce Johnson
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Pierce Johnson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Pierce Johnson
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Pierce Johnson
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Pierce Johnson
13.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Pierce Johnson
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Pierce Johnson
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
1.161.36
now 1.29
1.26
Pierce Johnson
1.161.36
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4027.60
now 19
18
Pierce Johnson
4027.60
now 20
22
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0006.60
now 4
25
Pierce Johnson
.0006.60
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0003.40
now 1
02
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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