Rest of Season Projection
MitchellCategoryPierce
39K ←37
3.79ERA →3.75
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W2–5
1–2SV1–3
Current Season
MitchellCategoryPierce
26K ←20
5.28ERA →3.27
1.17WHIP ←1.23
2W2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitchell Parker
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.80)
Pierce Johnson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.23 is 2.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitchell Parker: 40 K / 3.79 ERA. Pierce Johnson: 38 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).