MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Mitchell Parker
Mitchell Parker
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pierce Johnson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Mitchell Parker’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pierce Johnson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Mitchell Parker wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitchell Parker
93.6
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitchell Parker
14.1%
Pierce Johnson
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitchell Parker
19.1%
Pierce Johnson
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitchell Parker
32.0%
Pierce Johnson
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitchell Parker
41.9%
Pierce Johnson
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitchell Parker
8.5%
Pierce Johnson
12.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitchell Parker
.347
Pierce Johnson
.371
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitchell Parker
2.476.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.82
Pierce Johnson
2.476.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Mitchell Parker
1.101.32
now 1.17
1.25
Pierce Johnson
1.101.32
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitchell Parker
4031.60
now 26
21
Pierce Johnson
4031.60
now 20
19
Winshigher is better
Mitchell Parker
.5202.48
now 2
12
Pierce Johnson
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Mitchell Parker
.0002.40
now 1
11
Pierce Johnson
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMitchell Parker — hold.conf 0.55
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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