MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Wilber Dotel
Wilber Dotel
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Wilber Dotel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Wilber Dotel wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
95.2
Wilber Dotel
98.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Wilber Dotel
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
22.5%
Wilber Dotel
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
33.0%
Wilber Dotel
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Wilber Dotel
52.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
14.7%
Wilber Dotel
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
.380
Wilber Dotel
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Pierce Johnson
24.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
Wilber Dotel
24.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.32
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Pierce Johnson
.9001.44
now 1.23
1.24
Wilber Dotel
.9001.44
now 0.73
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
4037.80
now 20
25
Wilber Dotel
4037.80
now 14
31
Winshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.2003.80
now 2
13
Wilber Dotel
.2003.80
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
Wilber Dotel
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeWilber Dotel — hold.conf 0.50
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