MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Erik Miller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Erik Miller wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Erik Miller
96.8
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
13.6%
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
32.1%
Pierce Johnson
20.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Erik Miller
26.2%
Pierce Johnson
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
27.8%
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
6.9%
Pierce Johnson
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Erik Miller
.277
Pierce Johnson
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Erik Miller
2.814.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
Pierce Johnson
2.814.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Erik Miller
1.161.48
now 1.41
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.161.48
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Erik Miller
4029.60
now 24
20
Pierce Johnson
4029.60
now 20
17
Winshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0002.80
now 0
00
Pierce Johnson
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0004.40
now 2
13
Pierce Johnson
.0004.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePierce Johnson — hold.conf 0.50
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