MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Erik Miller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Erik Miller wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Erik Miller
96.8
Pierce Johnson
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
11.7%
Pierce Johnson
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
29.3%
Pierce Johnson
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Erik Miller
21.7%
Pierce Johnson
31.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
31.9%
Pierce Johnson
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
10.6%
Pierce Johnson
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Erik Miller
.329
Pierce Johnson
.381
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Erik Miller
2.814.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
Pierce Johnson
2.814.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Erik Miller
1.161.48
now 1.41
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.161.48
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Erik Miller
4049.40
now 24
41
Pierce Johnson
4049.40
now 20
35
Winshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0005.60
now 0
00
Pierce Johnson
.0005.60
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0008
now 2
16
Pierce Johnson
.0008
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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