MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Alan Rangel
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Alan Rangel wins 2 (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 2 (W, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alan Rangel
92.9
Pierce Johnson
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
11.6%
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
25.9%
Pierce Johnson
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alan Rangel
32.8%
Pierce Johnson
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alan Rangel
34.0%
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alan Rangel
5.7%
Pierce Johnson
14.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alan Rangel
.291
Pierce Johnson
.380
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alan Rangel
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.25
3.70
Pierce Johnson
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Alan Rangel
.9001.34
now 1.00
1.24
Pierce Johnson
.9001.34
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alan Rangel
4063.60
now 9
48
Pierce Johnson
4063.60
now 20
25
Winshigher is better
Alan Rangel
.0004.20
now 0
00
Pierce Johnson
.0004.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Alan Rangel
.0003.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlan Rangel — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet